UNIT 3.6

INTERNATIONAL TRADE

 

3.6.1    Trade and balance of payments;

3.6.2   Foreign exchange rates (floating and fixed exchange rates) their nature,

3.6.3    function and determination;

3.6.4   Trade and its determinants;

3.6.5   Markets and demand for imports and exports;

3.6.6   Open Economy (Basic concept)

3.6.7   Introduction to World Trade Organization

 

International Trade

 MEANING  

International trade refers to the exchange of goods and services between the countries.

 

BASIS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE

International trade arises because:

(a)        The production of different kind of goods requires different kind of resources used in

different proportions.

(b)        The various kind of economic resources are unevenly distributed throughout the world.

(c)        The international mobility of resources is extremely limited.

For these reasons nations which have an abundance of land relative to labour will concentrate on the production of land intensive commodities such as wheat and meat. They will exchange these goods for capital intensive goods such as T.V., Computers which are produced by those countries who have abundance of capital relative to land.

 

ADVANTAGES OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE.

            Nurkse calls trade as the engine of growth. We find the statement quite true on the basis of a number of reasons.  Some are given below.

 

(1)  Optimum use of resources.           Trade encourages to produce and export those commodities in which a country has comparative advantages. Resources are allocated automatically to most efficient use.

 

(2)  Increase in production:  Trade encourages specialization. Trading countries obtain maximum production by allocating available resources to best possible use.

 

(3)  Raw material for industries.  International trade has made it possible to set those industries in a country for which raw material is not available locally. eg establishment of ghee industry in Pakistan was not possible without the facility of importing raw oil from other countries..

 

(4)  Increase in employment opportunities.  International trade encourages specialization and expansion of export oriented industries. Expansion of industrial base provides enormous job opportunities in a country. Textile industry is an example in Pakistan.

 

(5)  Discouraging of monopolies:  International trade discourages monopolies in a country and introduces a healthy competition among sellers. eg Import of tractors has broken up the monopolies of local manufacturers and prices of tractors in Pakistan have fallen. 

(6) improved quality of goods.     Foreign trade compels manufactures to improve the quality of their products. If they do not do so, their products remain unsold.

 

(7)  Inventions and innovations.  There is very tough competition in international market.  Therefore every producer tries to differentiate his product from other similar products. That is why he uses peculiar ideas in production and tries to invent new goods.

 

(8)  Import of technology: The deficiency of technology in a developing country can be covered by importing technology.

 

(9) Capital inflow: Trade makes capital to move from developed countries to developing countries.  This inflow of capital encourages development in a developing country.

 

(10) Economic stability:  International trade can help to stabilize an economy. Expansion of export opens new job opportunities and Imports or export of goods can stabilize prices in an economy.

 

(11) Extent of market.  Introduction of trade increase the extent of the market and therefore surplus produce can be exported to different markets of the world and industries can be encouraged to further increase their production.

 

(12) Emergencies: During the days of emergencies and natural calamities, shortages of food and other necessities may occur.  This situation can be tackled by importing required commodities fro other countries.

 

DISADVANTAGES OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE

Although there are many advantages of international trade yet there are certain disadvantages as well. Some major disadvantages are discussed as under

 

(1)        Economic dependence

(2)        Imported inflation

(3)        Cultural Problems

(4)        Loss in case of political differences

(5)        Problems of adverse balance of trade

(6)        Dumping

(7)        Problems for local industry

 

 

THE THEORY OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE

 

THE THEORY

     "If one country can produce each of two products more efficiently than another nation, then the country should specialize and export the  commodity for which its comparative advantage is more or comparative disadvantage is less.”

 The two nations will then have more of both goods by engaging in trade.

 

Explanation:

To explain this theory we make following assumptions.

1)         labour is the only factor of production 

2)         The quality of labour is same in both the countries

3)         There is no cost of transporting goods from one country to another

4)         There are no trade restrictions.

5)         There is perfect competition in factor and product markets. 

 

Under these conditions if both the countries apply one day of labour (one worker working

one day) in the production of wheat and cloth, the resulting output is as follows

 

Country           cloth         wheat      cost ratio (cloth/wheat)    

 Japan                 20 units      20 units   1/1    

 Pakistan             15 units      10 units   1.5/1

 

It is clear that Japan is more efficient in producing both wheat and cloth. But if we look carefully, we will find that it would be advantageous for Japan to specialize in the production of wheat and import cloth from Pakistan. This becomes clear from following analysis.

 

SITUATION BEFORE TRADE.

In Japan the cost of production of both wheat and cloth is same and therefore before trade one unit of wheat will be exchange with one unit of cloth. On the other hand in Pakistan one unit of wheat will be exchanged for one and half units of cloth in Pakistan.

 

SITUATION AFTER TRADE.

Now Japan can get more than one unit of cloth by giving one unit of wheat On the other hand Pakistan can get one unit of wheat by giving less than 1.5 units of cloth.

 

Fixing The Rate Of Exchange

The rate of exchange thus be between the two limits.

1 units of wheat=1 units of cloth (minimum) & 1.5 units of cloth (max)

 

Gains From Trade:

Suppose the rate of exchange is settled at:

1 units of wheat = 1.3 units of cloth

 

Now by specializing in the production of wheat Japan would gain 0.3 units of cloth  per unit of wheat and Pakistan would gain 0.2 unit Of cloth per units of wheat imported. thus both countries gain from specialization and international trade.

 

CRITICISM:

 

(1)  Labour cost assumption is unrealistic. 

(2)  Labour is not homogeneous. 

(3)  Labour is mobile between countries. 

(4)  Cost of transportation.    

(5)  Tariffs and customs duties.    

(6)  Limited scope.

(7)  Complete specialization.

(8)  Perfect competition.  

.

 

 

 

 

BALANCE OF PAYMENT AND BALANCE OF TRADE

 

 

BALANCE OF TRADE.

 

Balance of trade refers to

 

"Account of the money value of merchandise imports and exports during a given period of time."

 

In it we include only visible items of export and import and leave the invisible one.

 

BALANCE OF PAYMENT.

 

The Balance of payment refers to

 

 "The difference of total receipts and payments of a country with rest of the world during a given period of time."

 

The balance of payment includes in it, not only the visible items of export and imports but also the invisible items such as payment for services, expenditures on foreign missions etc.

 

DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TWO:

Balance of trade includes only the transactions regarding physical or visible goods while Balance of payment show the over all external payment position of a country's international transactions of both the goods and services and other monetary transactions. To sum up the balance of trade is a part of balance of payment.

 

MEANING OF DEFICIT IN BALANCE OF PAYMENT:

 

When the total receipt of a country fall short of total payment it has to make to the foreign countries for the purchase and sales of goods and services and other items, the balance of payment is said to be in deficit. Persistent deficit in  balance of payment of a country indicates the weak performance of an economy and therefore steps must be taken to correct the deficit in B.O.P.

 

CAUSES OF DEFICIT IN BALANCE OF PAYMNENT

Following are the important causes of deficit in balance of payment of a country.

 

1:         Inflation

2:         Adverse TOT

3:         Structural backwardness

4:         Early stage of development

5:         Political instability

6:         Population explosion

7:         Consumption oriented society

 

MEASURES TO CORRECT ADVERSE B.O.P.

 

Government can resort to various measures for improvement in balance of payment position. Some suggested measures are mentioned as under.

 

1)         Monetary and fiscal policies.

2)         Import substitution policy.

3)         Export promotion measures.

4)         Export of value added goods.

5)         Diversification of exports.

6)         Tariff concession to export oriented industries.

7)         Quality control measures.

8)         Modernization of Agriculture.

9)         Control on invisible imports.

10)       Increase in workers remittances.

11)       Devaluation of currency.

12)       Regional trade agreements.

13)       Economic ties with Islamic world.

14)       Population control.

           

MEANING AND DETERMINATION OF  EXCHANGE RATE

 

MEANING:

The rate at which currency of one country is exchanged with the currency of other county is called exchange rate. In other word units of  currency of a country which are required for the exchange with each unit of foreign exchange i.e. U.S $ dollar e.g. Rs. 57 = $1, is the exchange rate between US$ and Pak rupee.

There are three methods or systems for determining the exchanges rate.

 

(1)        Floating exchange rate system.

(2)        Managed floating exchange rate system.

(3)        Fixed exchange rate system.

 

In the following discussion determination of exchange rate in floating exchange rate system is discussed.

 

FLOATING EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM

When the exchange rate is freely determined by the forces of demand and supply of foreign exchange , it is called floating exchange rate. Thus, when demand/supply of foreign exchange rises or falls the exchange rate moves accordingly.

To explain this system we  assume that we are dealing with the exchange rate of Rs. in terms of US $

 

DEMAND FOR FOREIGN EXCHANGE :

Basically the demand for foreign exchange  depends upon the demand for imports by that country eg. Demand for import by Pakistan. If Pakistan's demand for imports is high then there will be a great demand for US $.

 

SUPPLY OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE :

On the other hand, the supply of foreign exchange or US $ will depend upon the exports of a country, for example Pakistan. Therefore if there are more exports from Pakistan, supply of the US $ in Pakistan will go up.

 

EQUILIBRIUM :

Thus, the equilibrium between these two forces of foreign exchange will determine the exchange rate under the floating exchange rate system. This is shown in two hypothetical diagrams below :

On the vertical axis we measure the units of Rs. per unit of US $ and on the horizontal axis we measure the quantity demanded and  supplied of foreign exchange i.e. US $. The curves, i.e. DD represents the demand for U.S.$ due demand for imports from Pakistan. and  the SS curve represents the supply of US $ which depends upon the exports of Pakistan. At equilibrium point E the exchange rate is determined at Rs. 57 for US $ 1, and the equilibrium quantity is US $ 40 billion.

 

Supposing that the DD curve shifts

upward to D'D' meaning that demand for U.S. $ has gone up. Thus at point E' the new exchange rate is Rs. 75 for U.S. $ 1 and the equilibrium quantity is $ 60 billion.

Since more Rs. are required per US $ this shows that the Rupee has depreciated in the international market and that the U.S. $ has appreciated in terms of Pakistan Rs.